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Voter Decision-Making in Post-Reform Presidential Primaries.
Record Type:
Language materials, manuscript : Monograph/item
Title/Author:
Voter Decision-Making in Post-Reform Presidential Primaries./
Author:
Patton, William.
Description:
1 online resource (133 pages)
Notes:
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-11, Section: A.
Contained By:
Dissertations Abstracts International83-11A.
Subject:
Political science. -
Online resource:
click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:
9798438791362
Voter Decision-Making in Post-Reform Presidential Primaries.
Patton, William.
Voter Decision-Making in Post-Reform Presidential Primaries.
- 1 online resource (133 pages)
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-11, Section: A.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 2022.
Includes bibliographical references
Politicians, campaign staffers and media elites, among others, spend months in every election cycle trying to identify what voters want and how they make decisions. In general elections, the answer is usually simple: Republicans want a Republican in office and Democrats want a Democrat. This dissertation examines how voters make decisions in presidential primary elections, when a candidate's partisan identification is no longer useful. The first chapter serves as a motivation and a roadmap of sorts for the rest of the dissertation. The second chapter uses the 2016 and 2020 Democratic nominations as a case study to demonstrate that, despite conventional wisdom, voters don't simply use ideological positioning to determine who they will vote for in primary elections, as well as highlighting the potential for backlash against traditionally "unelectable" candidates when they lose a general election. The third chapter highlights the characteristics of voters that make them more or less likely to prefer candidates who they perceive as being capable of winning a general election. Exit polls from 2000-2016 in both major parties show that moderate candidates tend to be viewed as more "electable," while simultaneously showing that moderate voters are no more likely to prefer electability in a nominee than voters who identify as more ideological. Lastly, Chapter 4 demonstrates that higher turnout in primary elections leads to electorates who more closely resemble the electorate of the "party following" in the general electorate. Further, I show that institutional choices by state parties, such as holding presidential and congressional primaries on the same day, lead to higher turnout, however these individual rule changes may not be enough to increase representativeness on their own.
Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2024
Mode of access: World Wide Web
ISBN: 9798438791362Subjects--Topical Terms:
558774
Political science.
Subjects--Index Terms:
ElectionsIndex Terms--Genre/Form:
554714
Electronic books.
Voter Decision-Making in Post-Reform Presidential Primaries.
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Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 83-11, Section: A.
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Advisor: Treul, Sarah.
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Includes bibliographical references
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Politicians, campaign staffers and media elites, among others, spend months in every election cycle trying to identify what voters want and how they make decisions. In general elections, the answer is usually simple: Republicans want a Republican in office and Democrats want a Democrat. This dissertation examines how voters make decisions in presidential primary elections, when a candidate's partisan identification is no longer useful. The first chapter serves as a motivation and a roadmap of sorts for the rest of the dissertation. The second chapter uses the 2016 and 2020 Democratic nominations as a case study to demonstrate that, despite conventional wisdom, voters don't simply use ideological positioning to determine who they will vote for in primary elections, as well as highlighting the potential for backlash against traditionally "unelectable" candidates when they lose a general election. The third chapter highlights the characteristics of voters that make them more or less likely to prefer candidates who they perceive as being capable of winning a general election. Exit polls from 2000-2016 in both major parties show that moderate candidates tend to be viewed as more "electable," while simultaneously showing that moderate voters are no more likely to prefer electability in a nominee than voters who identify as more ideological. Lastly, Chapter 4 demonstrates that higher turnout in primary elections leads to electorates who more closely resemble the electorate of the "party following" in the general electorate. Further, I show that institutional choices by state parties, such as holding presidential and congressional primaries on the same day, lead to higher turnout, however these individual rule changes may not be enough to increase representativeness on their own.
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click for full text (PQDT)
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