國立虎尾科技大學 |

An Uncertainty-Driven Risk Assessment Framework for Development of Advanced Aircraft Technologies.

Record Type:	Language materials, manuscript : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	An Uncertainty-Driven Risk Assessment Framework for Development of Advanced Aircraft Technologies./
Author:	Pham, Dahlia Dang-Thy Vu.
Description:	1 online resource (206 pages)
Notes:	Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 85-06.
Contained By:	Masters Abstracts International85-06.
Subject:	Aerospace engineering. -
Online resource:	click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:	9798381107869

An Uncertainty-Driven Risk Assessment Framework for Development of Advanced Aircraft Technologies.
Pham, Dahlia Dang-Thy Vu.

An Uncertainty-Driven Risk Assessment Framework for Development of Advanced Aircraft Technologies. - 1 online resource (206 pages)

Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 85-06.

Thesis (M.S.)--University of California, Davis, 2023.

Includes bibliographical references

The task of assessing which technologies are most suitable for long-term aeronautics research investments is a matter of understanding the uncertainties and risk posed by technologies in terms of performance, maturity, and scalability into commercial production and operation. Within this study, a novel technology development risk assessment (TDRA) framework for advanced aircraft technologies is presented, where the concept of technology development risk is evaluated using the five-step Performance, Integration, Certification, Timeline, and Operation (PICTO) approach. The PICTO approach provides a TDRA framework for decision-makers that outlines uncertainty-driven qualitative and quantitative methods that can be used as early as the conceptual design phase to determine the risk levels, associated uncertainties, and commercial viability of advanced aircraft technologies within a portfolio. For performance and schedule risks, new systems-level analysis techniques are introduced within the PICTO approach that couple semi-empirical methods, aircraft sizing and performance estimation techniques, and Monte Carlo simulations within a modeling and simulation environment. Additionally, important risk factors absent from previous TDRA frameworks such as integration, certification, and operation are now formally included in this new approach to technology development risk. Finally, to demonstrate the capabilities of the new TDRA framework to early-stage risk assessment, a case study applying advanced aircraft technologies from the Advanced Air Transportation Technologies (AATT) project portfolio onto a short-haul, commuter regional turboprop studied under EPFD to obtain performance, timeline readiness, integration, certification, and operational risk assessment results.

Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2024

Mode of access: World Wide Web

ISBN: 9798381107869Subjects--Topical Terms:

686400
Aerospace engineering.
Subjects--Index Terms:

Advanced aircraft technologiesIndex Terms--Genre/Form:

554714
Electronic books.

An Uncertainty-Driven Risk Assessment Framework for Development of Advanced Aircraft Technologies.
LDR:03220ntm a22004097 4500 001 1145169
005 20240617111400.5
006 m o d
007 cr mn ---uuuuu
008 250605s2023 xx obm 000 0 eng d
020 $a 9798381107869
035 $a (MiAaPQ)AAI30640308
035 $a AAI30640308
040 $a MiAaPQ $b eng $c MiAaPQ $d NTU
100 1 $a Pham, Dahlia Dang-Thy Vu. $3 1470396
245 1 3 $a An Uncertainty-Driven Risk Assessment Framework for Development of Advanced Aircraft Technologies.
264 0 $c 2023
300 $a 1 online resource (206 pages)
336 $a text $b txt $2 rdacontent
337 $a computer $b c $2 rdamedia
338 $a online resource $b cr $2 rdacarrier
500 $a Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 85-06.
500 $a Advisor: van Dam, C. P.
502 $a Thesis (M.S.)--University of California, Davis, 2023.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references
520 $a The task of assessing which technologies are most suitable for long-term aeronautics research investments is a matter of understanding the uncertainties and risk posed by technologies in terms of performance, maturity, and scalability into commercial production and operation. Within this study, a novel technology development risk assessment (TDRA) framework for advanced aircraft technologies is presented, where the concept of technology development risk is evaluated using the five-step Performance, Integration, Certification, Timeline, and Operation (PICTO) approach. The PICTO approach provides a TDRA framework for decision-makers that outlines uncertainty-driven qualitative and quantitative methods that can be used as early as the conceptual design phase to determine the risk levels, associated uncertainties, and commercial viability of advanced aircraft technologies within a portfolio. For performance and schedule risks, new systems-level analysis techniques are introduced within the PICTO approach that couple semi-empirical methods, aircraft sizing and performance estimation techniques, and Monte Carlo simulations within a modeling and simulation environment. Additionally, important risk factors absent from previous TDRA frameworks such as integration, certification, and operation are now formally included in this new approach to technology development risk. Finally, to demonstrate the capabilities of the new TDRA framework to early-stage risk assessment, a case study applying advanced aircraft technologies from the Advanced Air Transportation Technologies (AATT) project portfolio onto a short-haul, commuter regional turboprop studied under EPFD to obtain performance, timeline readiness, integration, certification, and operational risk assessment results.
533 $a Electronic reproduction. $b Ann Arbor, Mich. : $c ProQuest, $d 2024
538 $a Mode of access: World Wide Web
650 4 $a Aerospace engineering. $3 686400
650 4 $a Automotive engineering. $3 1104081
650 4 $a Mechanical engineering. $3 557493
653 $a Advanced aircraft technologies
653 $a Aircraft design
653 $a Applied aerodynamics
653 $a Risk reduction
653 $a Systems analysis
653 $a Technology development
655 7 $a Electronic books. $2 local $3 554714
690 $a 0538
690 $a 0548
690 $a 0540
710 2 $a ProQuest Information and Learning Co. $3 1178819
710 2 $a University of California, Davis. $b Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering. $3 1179018
773 0 $t Masters Abstracts International $g 85-06.
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=30640308 $z click for full text (PQDT)