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Understanding uncertainty

Lindley, Dennis V.

Understanding uncertainty

Record Type:	Language materials, printed : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Understanding uncertainty/ Dennis V. Lindley.
Author:	Lindley, Dennis V.
Published:	Hoboken, N.J. :Wiley, : 2014.,
Description:	1 online resource.
Subject:	Mathematics. -
Online resource:	http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158
ISBN:	9781118650233 (electronic bk.)

Understanding uncertainty
Lindley, Dennis V.

Understanding uncertainty[electronic resource] /Dennis V. Lindley. - 1st ed. - Hoboken, N.J. :Wiley,2014. - 1 online resource.

"We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research.

ISBN: 9781118650233 (electronic bk.)

Publisher. No.: EB00067065Recorded BooksSubjects--Topical Terms:

527692
Mathematics.

LC Class. No.: QA273

Dewey Class. No.: 519.2

Understanding uncertainty
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003 OCoLC
005 20140507101920.0
006 m o d
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008 160215s2014 nju o 000 u eng d
020 $a 9781118650233 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 1118650239 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9781118650158 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 1118650158 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9781118650110 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 1118650115 (electronic bk.)
020 $z 9781118650127
020 $z 1118650123
028 0 1 $a EB00067065 $b Recorded Books
035 $a (OCoLC)865012953
035 $a ocn865012953
040 $a RECBK $b eng $c RECBK $d OCLCO $d OCLCQ $d OCLCO $d DG1 $d OCLCQ
050 4 $a QA273
082 0 4 $a 519.2 $2 22
100 1 $a Lindley, Dennis V. $3 1059344
245 1 0 $a Understanding uncertainty $h [electronic resource] / $c Dennis V. Lindley.
250 $a 1st ed.
260 $a Hoboken, N.J. : $b Wiley, $c 2014.
300 $a 1 online resource.
520 $a "We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."--Dennis Lindley Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. Completely reformatted and visually easy to read, this revised edition includes new material on the computational influence and breakthroughs of hierarchical Bayesian methods and inference; betting (Efron's dice); and the current recession; as well as additional illustrations, updated references, and simplified writing for clarity, ease of continuity and research.
588 $a Description based on print version record.
650 0 $a Mathematics. $3 527692
856 4 0 $u http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118650158

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