語系:
繁體中文
English
說明(常見問題)
登入
回首頁
切換:
標籤
|
MARC模式
|
ISBD
Demystifying climate models = a user...
~
SpringerLink (Online service)
Demystifying climate models = a users guide to earth system models /
紀錄類型:
書目-語言資料,印刷品 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Demystifying climate models/ by Andrew Gettelman, Richard B. Rood.
其他題名:
a users guide to earth system models /
作者:
Gettelman, Andrew.
其他作者:
Rood, Richard B.
出版者:
Berlin, Heidelberg :Springer Berlin Heidelberg : : 2016.,
面頁冊數:
xvii, 274 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ; : 24 cm.;
Contained By:
Springer eBooks
標題:
Climatic changes - Mathematical models. -
電子資源:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
ISBN:
9783662489598
Demystifying climate models = a users guide to earth system models /
Gettelman, Andrew.
Demystifying climate models
a users guide to earth system models /[electronic resource] :by Andrew Gettelman, Richard B. Rood. - Berlin, Heidelberg :Springer Berlin Heidelberg :2016. - xvii, 274 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm. - Earth systems data and models,v.22364-5830 ;. - Earth systems data and models ;v.1..
Introduction -- Components of the Climate System -- Climate Change and Global Warming -- Essence of a Climate Model -- Simulating the Atmosphere -- Simulating the Ocean and Sea Ice -- Simulating Terrestrial Systems -- Bringing the System Together: Coupling and Complexity -- Model Evaluation -- Predictability -- Results of Current Models -- Usability of Climate Model Projections by Practitioners -- Summary and Final Thoughts.
Open access.
This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth's climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
ISBN: 9783662489598
Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8doiSubjects--Topical Terms:
785230
Climatic changes
--Mathematical models.
LC Class. No.: QC903
Dewey Class. No.: 551.6015118
Demystifying climate models = a users guide to earth system models /
LDR
:02621nam a2200337 a 4500
001
863556
003
DE-He213
005
20161005112002.0
006
m d
007
cr nn 008maaau
008
170720s2016 gw s 0 eng d
020
$a
9783662489598
$q
(electronic bk.)
020
$a
9783662489574
$q
(paper)
024
7
$a
10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
$2
doi
035
$a
978-3-662-48959-8
040
$a
GP
$c
GP
041
0
$a
eng
050
4
$a
QC903
072
7
$a
TN
$2
bicssc
072
7
$a
TEC009020
$2
bisacsh
082
0 4
$a
551.6015118
$2
23
090
$a
QC903
$b
.G394 2016
100
1
$a
Gettelman, Andrew.
$3
1107662
245
1 0
$a
Demystifying climate models
$h
[electronic resource] :
$b
a users guide to earth system models /
$c
by Andrew Gettelman, Richard B. Rood.
260
$a
Berlin, Heidelberg :
$c
2016.
$b
Springer Berlin Heidelberg :
$b
Imprint: Springer,
300
$a
xvii, 274 p. :
$b
ill. (some col.), digital ;
$c
24 cm.
490
1
$a
Earth systems data and models,
$x
2364-5830 ;
$v
v.2
505
0
$a
Introduction -- Components of the Climate System -- Climate Change and Global Warming -- Essence of a Climate Model -- Simulating the Atmosphere -- Simulating the Ocean and Sea Ice -- Simulating Terrestrial Systems -- Bringing the System Together: Coupling and Complexity -- Model Evaluation -- Predictability -- Results of Current Models -- Usability of Climate Model Projections by Practitioners -- Summary and Final Thoughts.
506
$a
Open access.
520
$a
This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth's climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
650
0
$a
Climatic changes
$x
Mathematical models.
$3
785230
650
1 4
$a
Engineering.
$3
561152
650
2 4
$a
Civil Engineering.
$3
669250
650
2 4
$a
Climate Change Management and Policy.
$3
973605
650
2 4
$a
Math. Appl. in Environmental Science.
$3
670350
700
1
$a
Rood, Richard B.
$3
1107663
710
2
$a
SpringerLink (Online service)
$3
593884
773
0
$t
Springer eBooks
830
0
$a
Earth systems data and models ;
$v
v.1.
$3
1063991
856
4 0
$u
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
950
$a
Earth and Environmental Science (Springer-11646)
筆 0 讀者評論
多媒體
評論
新增評論
分享你的心得
Export
取書館別
處理中
...
變更密碼[密碼必須為2種組合(英文和數字)及長度為10碼以上]
登入