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The Role of Cognitive Capacity and Information Processing Preferences in Forecasting and Prediction Accuracy.

Record Type:	Language materials, manuscript : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	The Role of Cognitive Capacity and Information Processing Preferences in Forecasting and Prediction Accuracy./
Author:	Adis, Cory S.
Description:	1 online resource (81 pages)
Notes:	Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 75-04(E), Section: B.
Subject:	Cognitive psychology. -
Online resource:	click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:	9781303635083

The Role of Cognitive Capacity and Information Processing Preferences in Forecasting and Prediction Accuracy.
Adis, Cory S.

The Role of Cognitive Capacity and Information Processing Preferences in Forecasting and Prediction Accuracy. - 1 online resource (81 pages)

Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 75-04(E), Section: B.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--George Mason University, 2013.

Includes bibliographical references

The cognitive process of forecasting is important for decision making, problem solving, and planning, but has been under researched in psychology. The present research looked at the relationship between the amount and detail of forecasts and the accuracy of predictions in a driving time prediction context. In addition, individual differences in working memory capacity and visual/ spatial information processing were examined for their impact on forecasting activity. The results indicated that forecasting detail, but not forecasting amount, was related to prediction accuracy; however, both were moderated by participants' task experience. Furthermore, working memory capacity interacted with object imagery usage to predict the amount of detail in participants' forecasts; however, the impact of working memory and object imagery was not transmitted to prediction accuracy. Overall, the findings from this study contribute to the literature on forecasting by highlighting important factors in the forecasting process.

Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2018

Mode of access: World Wide Web

ISBN: 9781303635083Subjects--Topical Terms:

556029
Cognitive psychology.
Index Terms--Genre/Form:

554714
Electronic books.

The Role of Cognitive Capacity and Information Processing Preferences in Forecasting and Prediction Accuracy.
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245 1 4 $a The Role of Cognitive Capacity and Information Processing Preferences in Forecasting and Prediction Accuracy.
264 0 $c 2013
300 $a 1 online resource (81 pages)
336 $a text $b txt $2 rdacontent
337 $a computer $b c $2 rdamedia
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500 $a Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 75-04(E), Section: B.
500 $a Adviser: Stephen J. Zaccaro.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--George Mason University, 2013.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references
520 $a The cognitive process of forecasting is important for decision making, problem solving, and planning, but has been under researched in psychology. The present research looked at the relationship between the amount and detail of forecasts and the accuracy of predictions in a driving time prediction context. In addition, individual differences in working memory capacity and visual/ spatial information processing were examined for their impact on forecasting activity. The results indicated that forecasting detail, but not forecasting amount, was related to prediction accuracy; however, both were moderated by participants' task experience. Furthermore, working memory capacity interacted with object imagery usage to predict the amount of detail in participants' forecasts; however, the impact of working memory and object imagery was not transmitted to prediction accuracy. Overall, the findings from this study contribute to the literature on forecasting by highlighting important factors in the forecasting process.
533 $a Electronic reproduction. $b Ann Arbor, Mich. : $c ProQuest, $d 2018
538 $a Mode of access: World Wide Web
650 4 $a Cognitive psychology. $3 556029
655 7 $a Electronic books. $2 local $3 554714
690 $a 0633
710 2 $a ProQuest Information and Learning Co. $3 1178819
710 2 $a George Mason University. $b Psychology, Industrial/Organizational Concentration. $3 1186681
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3606383 $z click for full text (PQDT)