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Deterring space war : = An explorato...
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ProQuest Information and Learning Co.
Deterring space war : = An exploratory analysis incorporating prospect theory into a game theoretic model of space warfare.
紀錄類型:
書目-語言資料,手稿 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Deterring space war :/
其他題名:
An exploratory analysis incorporating prospect theory into a game theoretic model of space warfare.
作者:
Triezenberg, Bonnie L.
面頁冊數:
1 online resource (88 pages)
附註:
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 79-03(E), Section: A.
Contained By:
Dissertation Abstracts International79-03A(E).
標題:
Public policy. -
電子資源:
click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:
9780355497830
Deterring space war : = An exploratory analysis incorporating prospect theory into a game theoretic model of space warfare.
Triezenberg, Bonnie L.
Deterring space war :
An exploratory analysis incorporating prospect theory into a game theoretic model of space warfare. - 1 online resource (88 pages)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 79-03(E), Section: A.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Pardee RAND Graduate School, 2017.
Includes bibliographical references
If outer space becomes an active theater of war, the impact to daily life on earth would be substantial. Unintended consequences of attacks in space are hard to contain and are not always readily reversible---debris or radiation generating attacks render specific orbits unusable, not just for the duration of the war, but for the foreseeable future. With the loss of those orbits, our lives would be very different---accurate weather maps, overhead imagery, access to breaking international news, and navigation services that guide our cars, airplanes, and ships would all disappear. Even in the absence of catastrophic attacks, war in space would have a chilling effect on commercial uses. Deploying new capability in space is risky, and war would make it infinitely more so. Space entrepreneurship would grind to a halt, denying mankind capabilities we have yet to dream of.
Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2018
Mode of access: World Wide Web
ISBN: 9780355497830Subjects--Topical Terms:
1002398
Public policy.
Index Terms--Genre/Form:
554714
Electronic books.
Deterring space war : = An exploratory analysis incorporating prospect theory into a game theoretic model of space warfare.
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Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 79-03(E), Section: A.
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Includes bibliographical references
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If outer space becomes an active theater of war, the impact to daily life on earth would be substantial. Unintended consequences of attacks in space are hard to contain and are not always readily reversible---debris or radiation generating attacks render specific orbits unusable, not just for the duration of the war, but for the foreseeable future. With the loss of those orbits, our lives would be very different---accurate weather maps, overhead imagery, access to breaking international news, and navigation services that guide our cars, airplanes, and ships would all disappear. Even in the absence of catastrophic attacks, war in space would have a chilling effect on commercial uses. Deploying new capability in space is risky, and war would make it infinitely more so. Space entrepreneurship would grind to a halt, denying mankind capabilities we have yet to dream of.
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In this dissertation, I use a game theoretic model of space war to examine how sentiments in multiple dimensions impact state decisions regarding whether to expand a ground war into the space domain. Key innovations of this model are a) the use of prospect theory in lieu of rational choice and b) the assumption of non-unitary actors with independent sentiments regarding different dimensions of national interests. I offer a new way to visualize and think about how sentiment impacts the ability to tailor a deterrence strategy to specific circumstances. These innovations enable a rich exploration of how space war might play out across a wide range of futures. Based on that exploration, I recommend specific steps spacefaring nations should take to robustly deter the expansion of wars into the space domain. My recommendations are applicable across a wide range of opponent capabilities and sentiments under both rational choice and prospect theory.
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