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Climate Modelling = Philosophical an...
~
Winsberg, Eric.
Climate Modelling = Philosophical and Conceptual Issues /
紀錄類型:
書目-語言資料,印刷品 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Climate Modelling/ edited by Elisabeth A. Lloyd, Eric Winsberg.
其他題名:
Philosophical and Conceptual Issues /
其他作者:
A. Lloyd, Elisabeth.
面頁冊數:
XXXIII, 497 p. 33 illus.online resource. :
Contained By:
Springer Nature eBook
標題:
Climate change. -
電子資源:
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6
ISBN:
9783319650586
Climate Modelling = Philosophical and Conceptual Issues /
Climate Modelling
Philosophical and Conceptual Issues /[electronic resource] :edited by Elisabeth A. Lloyd, Eric Winsberg. - 1st ed. 2018. - XXXIII, 497 p. 33 illus.online resource.
1. Introduction; Elisabeth A. Lloyd and Eric Winsberg -- Section 1: Confirmation and Evidence -- 2. The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change: How Do We Know We're Not Wrong?; Naomi Oreskes -- 3. Satellite Data and Climate Models Redux -- 3a. Introduction to Chapter 3: Satellite Data and Climate Models; Elisabeth A. Lloyd -- Ch. 3b Fact Sheet to “Consistency of Modelled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”; Benjamin D. Santer et al. -- Ch. 3c Reprint of “Consistency of Modelled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”; Benjamin D. Santer et al. -- 4. The Role of ‘Complex’ Empiricism in the Debates about Satellite Data and Climate Models; Elisabeth A. Lloyd -- 5. Reconciling Climate Model/Data Discrepancies: The Case of the Trees That Didn’t Bark; Michael Mann -- 6. Downscaling of Climate Information; Linda O. Mearns et al. -- Section 2: Uncertainties and Robustness -- 7. The Significance of Robust Model Projections; Wendy S. Parker -- 8. Building Trust, Removing Doubt? Robustness Analysis and Climate Modeling; Jay Odenbaugh -- Section 3: Climate Models as Guides to Policy -- 9. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World; Reto Knutti -- 10. Uncertainty in Climate Science and Climate Policy; Jonathan Rougier and Michel Crucifix -- 11. Communicating Uncertainty to Policy Makers: The Ineliminable Role of Values; Eric Winsberg -- 12. Modeling Climate Policies: A Critical Look at Integrated Assessment Models; Mathias Frisch -- 13. Modelling Mitigation and Adaptation Policies to Predict their Effectiveness: The Limits of Randomized Controlled Trials; Alexandre Marcellesi and Nancy D. Cartwright.
This edited collection of works by leading climate scientists and philosophers introduces readers to issues in the foundations, evaluation, confirmation, and application of climate models. It engages with important topics directly affecting public policy, including the role of doubt, the use of satellite data, and the robustness of models. Climate Modelling provides an early and significant contribution to the burgeoning Philosophy of Climate Science field that will help to shape our understanding of these topics in both philosophy and the wider scientific context. It offers insight into the reasons we should believe what climate models say about the world but addresses the issues that inform how reliable and well-confirmed these models are. This book will be of interest to students of climate science, philosophy of science, and of particular relevance to policy makers who depend on the models that forecast future states of the climate and ocean in order to make public policy decisions.
ISBN: 9783319650586
Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6doiSubjects--Topical Terms:
1009004
Climate change.
LC Class. No.: QC902.8-903.2
Dewey Class. No.: 577.27
Climate Modelling = Philosophical and Conceptual Issues /
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1. Introduction; Elisabeth A. Lloyd and Eric Winsberg -- Section 1: Confirmation and Evidence -- 2. The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change: How Do We Know We're Not Wrong?; Naomi Oreskes -- 3. Satellite Data and Climate Models Redux -- 3a. Introduction to Chapter 3: Satellite Data and Climate Models; Elisabeth A. Lloyd -- Ch. 3b Fact Sheet to “Consistency of Modelled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”; Benjamin D. Santer et al. -- Ch. 3c Reprint of “Consistency of Modelled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”; Benjamin D. Santer et al. -- 4. The Role of ‘Complex’ Empiricism in the Debates about Satellite Data and Climate Models; Elisabeth A. Lloyd -- 5. Reconciling Climate Model/Data Discrepancies: The Case of the Trees That Didn’t Bark; Michael Mann -- 6. Downscaling of Climate Information; Linda O. Mearns et al. -- Section 2: Uncertainties and Robustness -- 7. The Significance of Robust Model Projections; Wendy S. Parker -- 8. Building Trust, Removing Doubt? Robustness Analysis and Climate Modeling; Jay Odenbaugh -- Section 3: Climate Models as Guides to Policy -- 9. Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World; Reto Knutti -- 10. Uncertainty in Climate Science and Climate Policy; Jonathan Rougier and Michel Crucifix -- 11. Communicating Uncertainty to Policy Makers: The Ineliminable Role of Values; Eric Winsberg -- 12. Modeling Climate Policies: A Critical Look at Integrated Assessment Models; Mathias Frisch -- 13. Modelling Mitigation and Adaptation Policies to Predict their Effectiveness: The Limits of Randomized Controlled Trials; Alexandre Marcellesi and Nancy D. Cartwright.
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